Big East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
8 Creighton 100.0%   2   23 - 7 13 - 5 23 - 7 13 - 5 +15.4      +11.2 2 +4.1 69 69.2 169 +16.4 9 +16.4 3
13 Villanova 100.0%   2   24 - 7 13 - 5 24 - 7 13 - 5 +14.4      +7.9 16 +6.5 30 64.9 280 +16.9 8 +16.6 2
16 Seton Hall 100.0%   3   21 - 9 13 - 5 21 - 9 13 - 5 +14.1      +7.4 24 +6.7 28 72.2 85 +14.6 16 +16.6 1
27 Butler 100.0%   5   22 - 9 10 - 8 22 - 9 10 - 8 +12.6      +7.4 23 +5.3 52 60.4 342 +14.5 17 +12.5 5
29 Marquette 90.8%   10   18 - 12 8 - 10 18 - 12 8 - 10 +12.5      +8.5 11 +4.0 72 73.8 61 +11.4 35 +9.8 7
35 Providence 98.9%   7   19 - 12 12 - 6 19 - 12 12 - 6 +11.4      +4.4 60 +7.0 24 69.4 164 +10.3 42 +15.4 4
41 Xavier 50.0%   19 - 13 8 - 10 19 - 13 8 - 10 +10.3      +3.2 89 +7.2 19 68.5 195 +10.4 41 +10.1 6
63 St. John's 0.2%   17 - 15 5 - 13 17 - 15 5 - 13 +8.2      +2.7 101 +5.5 45 78.9 20 +7.8 66 +6.0 9
66 Georgetown 0.0%   15 - 17 5 - 13 15 - 17 5 - 13 +7.9      +6.0 39 +1.9 115 73.2 70 +7.6 69 +6.0 8
91 DePaul 0.0%   15 - 16 3 - 15 15 - 16 3 - 15 +5.6      +0.9 160 +4.7 59 73.5 68 +7.7 68 +2.6 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Creighton 1.0 100.0
Villanova 1.0 100.0
Seton Hall 1.0 100.0
Butler 5.0 100.0
Marquette 6.0 100.0
Providence 4.0 100.0
Xavier 6.0 100.0
St. John's 8.0 100.0
Georgetown 8.0 100.0
DePaul 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Creighton 13 - 5 100.0
Villanova 13 - 5 100.0
Seton Hall 13 - 5 100.0
Butler 10 - 8 100.0
Marquette 8 - 10 100.0
Providence 12 - 6 100.0
Xavier 8 - 10 100.0
St. John's 5 - 13 100.0
Georgetown 5 - 13 100.0
DePaul 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Creighton 100.0% 100.0
Villanova 100.0% 100.0
Seton Hall 100.0% 100.0
Butler
Marquette
Providence
Xavier
St. John's
Georgetown
DePaul


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Creighton 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2   10.4 46.1 37.2 6.3 0.1
Villanova 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   8.3 46.0 38.6 7.1 0.1 100.0%
Seton Hall 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   0.4 6.4 44.1 43.4 5.6 0.0 100.0%
Butler 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 4.2 31.0 57.3 7.4 0.0 100.0%
Marquette 90.8% 0.0% 90.8% 10   1.0 3.7 15.8 29.6 31.4 9.1 0.1 9.2 90.8%
Providence 98.9% 0.0% 98.9% 7   0.0 1.9 21.2 52.4 21.7 1.7 0.0 1.1 98.9%
Xavier 50.0% 0.0% 50.0% 0.1 1.0 6.5 33.5 8.9 50.0 50.0%
St. John's 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.2%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Creighton 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 89.4% 57.3% 32.0% 15.4% 7.2% 3.3%
Villanova 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 86.6% 52.1% 26.6% 12.1% 5.3% 2.1%
Seton Hall 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 82.8% 47.6% 21.6% 9.8% 4.1% 1.5%
Butler 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 73.8% 37.9% 13.6% 5.9% 2.4% 0.8%
Marquette 90.8% 4.1% 89.3% 47.1% 17.1% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Providence 98.9% 0.0% 98.9% 53.9% 19.4% 7.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Xavier 50.0% 37.9% 32.0% 12.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
St. John's 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 6.4 0.0 4.4 51.3 44.2 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 6.2 0.0 7.4 64.9 27.7 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 4.5 0.3 2.9 14.2 32.2 35.0 14.3 1.2
Sweet Sixteen 96.6% 2.4 3.4 18.2 34.5 29.7 11.8 2.2 0.1
Elite Eight 74.7% 1.1 25.3 45.0 24.1 5.0 0.6 0.0
Final Four 42.8% 0.5 57.2 36.4 6.1 0.3
Final Game 20.5% 0.2 79.5 19.8 0.7
Champion 8.4% 0.1 91.6 8.4